The big market events
These are the scheduled days that usually shake the markets: the U.S. Federal Reserve deciding on interest rates, the monthly jobs and inflation figures, and the quarterly results of the giant companies. For each one we show when it happens, how much markets have moved on days like it since 2010, and how rough the Barometer expects the water to be on the day the market reacts.
How much, never which way · not investment adviceThe day and the hour, in New York and in Milan. A countdown shows how long is left.
On days like this since 2010, how many times bigger the move was than on a normal day.
Our level from 1 (very calm) to 8 (extreme) for the most exposed market, recalculated every evening.
Coming up · next 14 days
Results: Apple
On results days a giant's own share usually moves about 3× a normal day, and it can shake the indices it weighs on.
Read the full story →
Jobs report
Since 2010, on 195 days like this the S&P 500 moved 1.15× what a normal day suggested.
Read the full story →
Inflation (CPI)
Since 2010, on 197 days like this the S&P 500 moved 1.05× what a normal day suggested, a difference too small to be sure.
Read the full story →
Earlier events
- Exxon earnings and Amazon earnings, 30 October 2026: how much markets usually move
- Google earnings and Microsoft earnings, 29 October 2026: how much markets usually move
- The Fed decision, 28 October 2026: how much markets usually move
How to read the level
The level measures the expected size of the day's move compared with that market's usual day, up or down. It never says which way.